Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 11

Villarreal

VIL

Espanyol

ESP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Villarreal52%
Draw25%
Espanyol23%

Expected goals

1.78 – 1.15

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.3%
  • 0–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Villarreal will have the ball; Espanyol will not mind.

66%Possession47%
53%Territory36%
29%From set plays22%
0.13Chance quality0.12
4.1%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Villarreal, 4 for Espanyol.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.