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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 11

Rayo Vallecano

RAY

Celta Vigo

CEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rayo Vallecano40%
Draw29%
Celta Vigo31%

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.16

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celta Vigo will have the ball; Rayo Vallecano will not mind.

45%Possession55%
36%Territory48%
20%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.2%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rayo Vallecano, 4 for Celta Vigo.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.