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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 11

Racing Santander

RAC

Real Madrid

RMA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Racing Santander11%
Draw15%
Real Madrid74%

Expected goals

1.05 – 2.76

Over 2.5

72%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–28.9%
  • 0–28.7%
  • 1–38.2%
  • 0–37.6%
  • 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Madrid will have the ball; Racing Santander will not mind.

45%Possession54%
30%Territory46%
20%From set plays19%
0.19Chance quality0.15
3.4%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Racing Santander, 4 for Real Madrid.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.