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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 11

Levante

LEV

Atlético Madrid

ATM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Levante25%
Draw24%
Atlético Madrid51%

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.84

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.6%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 0–27.5%
  • 2–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Levante will not mind.

34%Possession59%
29%Territory42%
18%From set plays19%
0.14Chance quality0.11
7.1%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Levante, 4 for Atlético Madrid. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.