LaLiga · Matchweek 11
Barcelona
BAR
Deportivo Alavés
DEP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barcelona67%
Draw19%
Deportivo Alavés14%
Expected goals
2.37 – 1.03
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.5%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–18.2%
- 3–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barcelona will have the ball; Deportivo Alavés will not mind.
72%Possession40%
53%Territory39%
16%From set plays26%
0.18Chance quality0.09
2.8%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Barcelona, 4 for Deportivo Alavés.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.