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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 10

Valencia

VAL

Villarreal

VIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Valencia26%
Draw26%
Villarreal48%

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.63

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–27.9%
  • 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Villarreal will have the ball; Valencia will not mind.

48%Possession66%
31%Territory53%
13%From set plays29%
0.11Chance quality0.13
4.8%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Valencia, 4 for Villarreal.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.