LaLiga · Matchweek 10
Sevilla
SEV
Osasuna
OSA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sevilla42%
Draw30%
Osasuna27%
Expected goals
1.26 – 0.97
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.8%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–012.0%
- 0–110.3%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession47%
48%Territory35%
41%From set plays28%
0.07Chance quality0.16
7.7%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sevilla, 4 for Osasuna.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Osasuna
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.