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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 10

Racing Santander

RAC

Espanyol

ESP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Racing Santander31%
Draw26%
Espanyol43%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.62

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

45%Possession47%
30%Territory36%
20%From set plays22%
0.19Chance quality0.12
3.4%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Racing Santander, 4 for Espanyol.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.