LaLiga · Matchweek 10
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Deportivo A Coruña
DEO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlético Madrid63%
Draw23%
Deportivo A Coruña15%
Expected goals
1.88 – 0.82
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.2%
- 2–011.7%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Deportivo A Coruña will not mind.
59%Possession50%
42%Territory34%
19%From set plays7%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.2%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Atlético Madrid, 4 for Deportivo A Coruña.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.