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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 10

Deportivo Alavés

DEP

Málaga

MLA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Deportivo Alavés57%
Draw25%
Málaga18%

Expected goals

1.73 – 0.89

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.2%
  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–010.7%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Málaga will have the ball; Deportivo Alavés will not mind.

40%Possession50%
39%Territory37%
26%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.09
8.5%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Deportivo Alavés, 4 for Málaga.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.