LaLiga · Matchweek 9
Villarreal
VIL
Elche
ELC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Villarreal65%
Draw20%
Elche16%
Expected goals
2.28 – 1.10
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.0%
- 1–18.6%
- 1–08.4%
- 3–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Villarreal will have the ball; Elche will not mind.
66%Possession52%
53%Territory40%
29%From set plays32%
0.13Chance quality0.13
4.0%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Villarreal, 4 for Elche.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.