LaLiga · Matchweek 9
Málaga
MLA
Real Sociedad
RSO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Málaga30%
Draw28%
Real Sociedad43%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.45
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession50%
37%Territory42%
39%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.06
4.4%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Málaga, 4 for Real Sociedad.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Sociedad
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.