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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 9

Getafe

GET

Rayo Vallecano

RAY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Getafe32%
Draw33%
Rayo Vallecano35%

Expected goals

0.97 – 1.03

Over 2.5

32%

Both to score

41%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–015.3%
  • 0–113.9%
  • 1–113.6%
  • 1–013.0%
  • 1–27.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rayo Vallecano will have the ball; Getafe will not mind.

37%Possession45%
41%Territory36%
24%From set plays20%
0.06Chance quality0.10
9.8%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Getafe, 4 for Rayo Vallecano.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.