LaLiga · Matchweek 9
Celta Vigo
CEL
Deportivo Alavés
DEP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Vigo39%
Draw30%
Deportivo Alavés30%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.06
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–012.6%
- 0–011.4%
- 0–110.7%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Celta Vigo will have the ball; Deportivo Alavés will not mind.
55%Possession40%
48%Territory39%
12%From set plays26%
0.08Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celta Vigo, 4 for Deportivo Alavés.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.