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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 8

Racing Santander

RAC

Valencia

VAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Racing Santander39%
Draw27%
Valencia34%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.35

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

45%Possession48%
30%Territory31%
20%From set plays13%
0.19Chance quality0.11
3.4%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Racing Santander, 4 for Valencia.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.