LaLiga · Matchweek 8
Málaga
MLA
Espanyol
ESP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Málaga26%
Draw28%
Espanyol46%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.46
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–112.2%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–09.1%
- 1–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Málaga get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession47%
37%Territory36%
39%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.12
4.4%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Málaga, 4 for Espanyol.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.