LaLiga · Matchweek 8
Elche
ELC
Celta Vigo
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elche33%
Draw29%
Celta Vigo39%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.33
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–09.1%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Elche get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession55%
40%Territory48%
32%From set plays12%
0.13Chance quality0.08
4.9%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Elche, 4 for Celta Vigo.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.