LaLiga · Matchweek 8
Real Betis
BET
Osasuna
OSA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Betis54%
Draw25%
Osasuna22%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.07
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession47%
45%Territory35%
36%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.16
5.0%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Real Betis, 4 for Osasuna.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.