LaLiga · Matchweek 8
Deportivo Alavés
DEP
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Deportivo Alavés27%
Draw27%
Atlético Madrid45%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.49
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–08.4%
- 1–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Deportivo Alavés will not mind.
40%Possession59%
39%Territory42%
26%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.11
8.5%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Deportivo Alavés, 4 for Atlético Madrid.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.