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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 7

Sevilla

SEV

Barcelona

BAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sevilla20%
Draw24%
Barcelona56%

Expected goals

1.07 – 1.85

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–29.1%
  • 0–06.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Barcelona will have the ball; Sevilla will not mind.

45%Possession72%
48%Territory53%
41%From set plays16%
0.07Chance quality0.18
7.7%Directness2.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sevilla, 4 for Barcelona.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.