LaLiga · Matchweek 7
Osasuna
OSA
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Osasuna38%
Draw28%
Rayo Vallecano34%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.29
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession45%
35%Territory36%
28%From set plays20%
0.16Chance quality0.10
8.5%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Osasuna, 4 for Rayo Vallecano.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Osasuna
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.