LaLiga · Matchweek 7
Espanyol
ESP
Elche
ELC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Espanyol53%
Draw25%
Elche22%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.09
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession52%
36%Territory40%
22%From set plays32%
0.12Chance quality0.13
5.9%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Espanyol, 4 for Elche.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.