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LaLiga · Matchweek 6

· Estadio La Rosaleda

Málaga

MLA

18'Live, 18'

Villarreal

VIL

Timeline

How it happened

  1. Carlos Dotorassist by Juan Cruz12'Goal for Málaga at 12 minutes: Carlos Dotor assist by Juan Cruz

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Málaga25%
Draw26%
Villarreal49%

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.66

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.6%
  • 0110.4%
  • 129.6%
  • 027.9%
  • 107.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Villarreal will have the ball; Málaga will not mind.

Málaga4-1-4-1Starting shape4-4-2Villarreal
48%Possession68%
33%Territory49%
34%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.08
3.7%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Málaga, 4 for Villarreal.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Málaga

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.

The xG race2 shots
Cumulative expected goalsMálaga 0.25 xG, Villarreal 0.03 xG over 90 minutes
  • Málaga0.25
  • Villarreal0.03
Final score
Show data
Shots with expected-goal values
MinTeamxGOutcome
2'Villarreal0.03blocked
12'Málaga0.25goal
Shot map1 scored
Shot map
  • Málaga (1/1)
  • Villarreal (0/1)

Marker area is expected-goal value. Filled markers are goals; outlines are attempts that did not score.

Show data
Every shot with location and expected-goal value
MinTeamxGBodySituationOutcome
2'Villarreal0.03left footopen playblocked
12'Málaga0.25right footfast breakgoal
MomentumWho was on top, minute by minute
Match momentumPressure through the match. Bars above the line favour Málaga, below favour Villarreal.
  • Málaga pressure
  • Villarreal pressure
Line-ups45 players
Head to headPossession, shots, discipline
MálagaVillarreal
0.25Expected goals0.03
31Possession %69
1Shots1
1On target0
0Big chances0
0Corners2
46Passes100
76Pass accuracy %95
13.0Field tilt %est.29.0
2Fouls2
0Yellow cards0