Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 22
LASK
LAS
Austria Lustenau
AUT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LASK64%
Draw20%
Austria Lustenau16%
Expected goals
2.24 – 1.08
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.2%
- 1–18.8%
- 1–08.7%
- 3–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
66%Possession45%
54%Territory33%
30%From set plays14%
0.12Chance quality0.11
7.3%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LASK, 2 for Austria Lustenau. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Austria Lustenau
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.