Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 22
LASK
LAS
Austria Lustenau
AUS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LASK77%
Draw14%
Austria Lustenau9%
Expected goals
2.77 – 0.91
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–09.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 3–08.8%
- 3–18.2%
- 1–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
LASK will have the ball; Austria Lustenau will not mind.
55%Possession37%
46%Territory33%
29%From set plays8%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.6%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LASK, 3 for Austria Lustenau. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.