Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 22
Austria Wien
AUT
Ried
RIE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Austria Wien37%
Draw27%
Ried36%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.42
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Austria Wien will have the ball; Ried will not mind.
58%Possession48%
38%Territory38%
31%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.16
5.6%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Wien, 3 for Ried. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.