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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 22

Altach

ALT

Rapid Wien

RAP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Altach30%
Draw27%
Rapid Wien43%

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.47

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

52%Possession55%
33%Territory42%
27%From set plays21%
0.06Chance quality0.13
7.0%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Altach, 3 for Rapid Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.