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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 21

Wolfsberger AC

WOL

Altach

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsberger AC37%
Draw31%
Altach31%

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.05

Over 2.5

38%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.5%
  • 1–012.8%
  • 0–012.4%
  • 0–111.5%
  • 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

42%Possession44%
33%Territory39%
31%From set plays26%
0.08Chance quality0.06
9.2%Directness8.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsberger AC, 3 for Altach. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.