Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
Hartberg
HAR
WSG Tirol
WSG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hartberg35%
Draw27%
WSG Tirol37%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.41
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
38%Possession55%
24%Territory34%
57%From set plays47%
0.17Chance quality0.14
7.0%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Hartberg, 3 for WSG Tirol. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.