Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
Hartberg
HAR
WSG Tirol
WSG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hartberg52%
Draw26%
WSG Tirol23%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.06
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession51%
35%Territory34%
13%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.08
7.9%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hartberg, 3 for WSG Tirol. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hartberg
WSG Tirol
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.