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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 21

Grazer AK

GRA

LASK

LAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Grazer AK21%
Draw23%
LASK56%

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.96

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.1%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 0–28.3%
  • 1–36.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

LASK will have the ball; Grazer AK will not mind.

46%Possession55%
34%Territory46%
47%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.12
8.1%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grazer AK, 3 for LASK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.