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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 21

Grazer AK

GRA

LASK

LAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Grazer AK30%
Draw27%
LASK43%

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.52

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

54%Possession66%
47%Territory54%
48%From set plays30%
0.06Chance quality0.12
7.7%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Grazer AK, 3 for LASK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.