Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
Austria Lustenau
AUS
Austria Wien
AUT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Austria Lustenau28%
Draw25%
Austria Wien47%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.75
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–16.9%
- 0–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Austria Wien will have the ball; Austria Lustenau will not mind.
37%Possession58%
33%Territory38%
8%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.11
6.6%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Lustenau, 3 for Austria Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.