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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Wolfsberger AC

WOL

Grazer AK

GRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsberger AC32%
Draw30%
Grazer AK39%

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.27

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.1%
  • 0111.8%
  • 0010.4%
  • 1010.3%
  • 128.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

31%Possession54%
28%Territory47%
31%From set plays48%
0.05Chance quality0.06
7.1%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsberger AC, 2 for Grazer AK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.