Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 20
Sturm Graz
STU
Rapid Wien
RAP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sturm Graz36%
Draw27%
Rapid Wien37%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.44
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–18.8%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sturm Graz get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession53%
36%Territory39%
25%From set plays7%
0.12Chance quality0.20
7.0%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sturm Graz, 3 for Rapid Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.