Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 20
Austria Wien
AUS
Hartberg
HAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Austria Wien38%
Draw28%
Hartberg35%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.33
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession38%
35%Territory24%
31%From set plays57%
0.09Chance quality0.17
7.3%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Wien, 2 for Hartberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Austria Wien
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.