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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Austria Wien

AUT

Hartberg

HAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Austria Wien31%
Draw27%
Hartberg42%

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.51

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Austria Wien get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

58%Possession52%
38%Territory35%
31%From set plays13%
0.11Chance quality0.12
5.6%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Wien, 3 for Hartberg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.