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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

WSG Tirol

WSG

Rapid Wien

RAP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

WSG Tirol43%
Draw27%
Rapid Wien30%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.28

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–17.7%
  • 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

WSG Tirol get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

55%Possession55%
34%Territory42%
47%From set plays21%
0.14Chance quality0.13
4.7%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for WSG Tirol, 3 for Rapid Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.