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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

WSG Tirol

WSG

Rapid Wien

RAP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

WSG Tirol23%
Draw25%
Rapid Wien52%

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.72

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 0–110.8%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–28.6%
  • 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

51%Possession53%
34%Territory39%
18%From set plays7%
0.08Chance quality0.20
7.4%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for WSG Tirol, 3 for Rapid Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.