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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

Austria Wien

AUS

Altach

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Austria Wien43%
Draw29%
Altach28%

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.10

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–011.9%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

47%Possession52%
35%Territory33%
31%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.06
7.3%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Wien, 2 for Altach. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.