Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 19
Austria Lustenau
AUS
Sturm Graz
STU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Austria Lustenau16%
Draw20%
Sturm Graz64%
Expected goals
1.05 – 2.18
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.5%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–19.1%
- 1–37.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sturm Graz will have the ball; Austria Lustenau will not mind.
37%Possession55%
33%Territory36%
8%From set plays25%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.6%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Lustenau, 3 for Sturm Graz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.