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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 18

Wolfsberger AC

WOL

Hartberg

HAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsberger AC32%
Draw28%
Hartberg40%

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.43

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

31%Possession38%
28%Territory24%
31%From set plays57%
0.05Chance quality0.17
7.1%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsberger AC, 2 for Hartberg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.