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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 18

Wolfsberger AC

WOL

Hartberg

HAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsberger AC28%
Draw28%
Hartberg43%

Expected goals

1.12 – 1.42

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–111.6%
  • 0–09.0%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hartberg will have the ball; Wolfsberger AC will not mind.

42%Possession52%
33%Territory35%
31%From set plays13%
0.08Chance quality0.12
9.2%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsberger AC, 3 for Hartberg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.