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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 18

Rapid Wien

RAP

Austria Wien

AUS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rapid Wien53%
Draw25%
Austria Wien22%

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.08

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.9%
  • 0–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rapid Wien will have the ball; Austria Wien will not mind.

55%Possession47%
42%Territory35%
21%From set plays31%
0.13Chance quality0.09
4.6%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rapid Wien, 3 for Austria Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.