Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 18
Rapid Wien
RAP
Austria Wien
AUT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rapid Wien66%
Draw20%
Austria Wien14%
Expected goals
2.20 – 0.94
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.5%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–18.9%
- 3–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Austria Wien get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession58%
39%Territory38%
7%From set plays31%
0.20Chance quality0.11
5.1%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rapid Wien, 3 for Austria Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.