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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 18

Grazer AK

GRA

WSG Tirol

WSG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Grazer AK34%
Draw27%
WSG Tirol39%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.44

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Grazer AK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession51%
34%Territory34%
47%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.08
8.1%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grazer AK, 3 for WSG Tirol. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.