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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 18

Grazer AK

GRA

WSG Tirol

WSG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Grazer AK34%
Draw29%
WSG Tirol36%

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.26

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 0–110.8%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

54%Possession55%
47%Territory34%
48%From set plays47%
0.06Chance quality0.14
7.7%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Grazer AK, 3 for WSG Tirol. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.