Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 18
Altach
ALT
Austria Lustenau
AUS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Altach57%
Draw24%
Austria Lustenau19%
Expected goals
1.80 – 0.98
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.8%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Altach get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession37%
39%Territory33%
26%From set plays8%
0.06Chance quality0.09
8.4%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Altach, 3 for Austria Lustenau. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.