Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
WSG Tirol
WSG
LASK
LAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
WSG Tirol28%
Draw26%
LASK46%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.60
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–07.4%
- 0–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession55%
34%Territory46%
18%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.12
7.4%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for WSG Tirol, 3 for LASK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
WSG Tirol
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.