Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Sturm Graz
STU
Wolfsberger AC
WOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sturm Graz60%
Draw24%
Wolfsberger AC17%
Expected goals
1.81 – 0.88
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.9%
- 2–011.0%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sturm Graz will have the ball; Wolfsberger AC will not mind.
55%Possession42%
36%Territory33%
25%From set plays31%
0.12Chance quality0.08
7.0%Directness9.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sturm Graz, 3 for Wolfsberger AC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Wolfsberger AC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.