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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 17

Ried

RIE

Altach

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ried44%
Draw27%
Altach29%

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.17

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 1010.8%
  • 219.1%
  • 018.3%
  • 008.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

46%Possession52%
35%Territory33%
26%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.06
8.1%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Ried, 2 for Altach. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.