Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Ried
RIE
Altach
ALT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ried46%
Draw28%
Altach26%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.05
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–012.3%
- 0–09.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession44%
38%Territory39%
16%From set plays26%
0.16Chance quality0.06
5.5%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ried, 3 for Altach. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.