Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Hartberg
HAR
Rapid Wien
RAP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hartberg31%
Draw27%
Rapid Wien42%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.54
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession53%
35%Territory39%
13%From set plays7%
0.12Chance quality0.20
7.9%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hartberg, 3 for Rapid Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hartberg
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.