Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Hartberg
HAR
Rapid Wien
RAP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hartberg37%
Draw27%
Rapid Wien37%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.47
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
38%Possession55%
24%Territory42%
57%From set plays21%
0.17Chance quality0.13
7.0%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Hartberg, 3 for Rapid Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.