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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 17

Austria Wien

AUT

Grazer AK

GRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Austria Wien50%
Draw25%
Grazer AK25%

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.22

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Austria Wien will have the ball; Grazer AK will not mind.

58%Possession46%
38%Territory34%
31%From set plays47%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.6%Directness8.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Wien, 3 for Grazer AK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.