Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Austria Wien
AUS
Grazer AK
GRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Austria Wien36%
Draw30%
Grazer AK34%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.19
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–110.7%
- 0–010.2%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession54%
35%Territory47%
31%From set plays48%
0.09Chance quality0.06
7.3%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Wien, 2 for Grazer AK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Austria Wien
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.