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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 16

WSG Tirol

WSG

Altach

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

WSG Tirol42%
Draw30%
Altach28%

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.04

Over 2.5

41%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–012.8%
  • 0–010.8%
  • 0–19.9%
  • 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

51%Possession44%
34%Territory39%
18%From set plays26%
0.08Chance quality0.06
7.4%Directness8.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for WSG Tirol, 3 for Altach. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.