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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 16

WSG Tirol

WSG

Altach

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

WSG Tirol55%
Draw25%
Altach20%

Expected goals

1.69 – 0.95

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.6%
  • 1111.5%
  • 209.9%
  • 219.7%
  • 008.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

55%Possession52%
34%Territory33%
47%From set plays27%
0.14Chance quality0.06
4.7%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for WSG Tirol, 2 for Altach. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.