Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Rapid Wien
RAP
Ried
RIE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rapid Wien54%
Draw24%
Ried22%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.16
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession46%
42%Territory35%
21%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.10
4.6%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rapid Wien, 2 for Ried. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.