Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Rapid Wien
RAP
Ried
RIE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rapid Wien61%
Draw22%
Ried17%
Expected goals
2.06 – 1.03
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–010.0%
- 1–19.7%
- 2–09.6%
- 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession48%
39%Territory38%
7%From set plays16%
0.20Chance quality0.16
5.1%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rapid Wien, 3 for Ried. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.