Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
LASK
LAS
Austria Wien
AUT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LASK61%
Draw22%
Austria Wien18%
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.05
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–09.8%
- 1–19.7%
- 2–09.4%
- 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession58%
46%Territory38%
29%From set plays31%
0.12Chance quality0.11
6.6%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LASK, 3 for Austria Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.