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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 16

LASK

LAS

Austria Wien

AUS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

LASK61%
Draw22%
Austria Wien17%

Expected goals

2.04 – 1.03

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–19.8%
  • 2–09.6%
  • 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

LASK will have the ball; Austria Wien will not mind.

66%Possession47%
54%Territory35%
30%From set plays31%
0.12Chance quality0.09
7.3%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LASK, 3 for Austria Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.