Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Austria Lustenau
AUS
Hartberg
HAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Austria Lustenau19%
Draw22%
Hartberg59%
Expected goals
1.12 – 2.04
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–28.8%
- 1–36.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hartberg will have the ball; Austria Lustenau will not mind.
37%Possession52%
33%Territory35%
8%From set plays13%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.6%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Lustenau, 3 for Hartberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.