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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

Wolfsberger AC

WOL

Austria Lustenau

AUS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsberger AC55%
Draw24%
Austria Lustenau21%

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.06

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.1%
  • 0–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolfsberger AC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

42%Possession37%
33%Territory33%
31%From set plays8%
0.08Chance quality0.09
9.2%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsberger AC, 3 for Austria Lustenau. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.